高等教育资源配置何以成为推动新质生产力发展的引擎——基于2012—2021年省级面板数据的实证分析

How Does the Allocation of Resources in Higher Education Serve as the Driving Force Behind the Development of New Quality Productive Forces: An Empirical Analysis Based on Provincial Panel Data from 2012 to 2021

基于2012—2021年中国30个省份的面板数据,以科技生产力、数字生产力和绿色生产力为一级指标建构新质生产力评价指标体系,探究高等教育资源配置对新质生产力发展的影响机制。结果表明:高等教育资源配置能够促进新质生产力发展,并通过产业转型升级发挥中介作用;高等教育资源配置对新质生产力发展的影响呈现“S”型增长周期的双门槛效应和惠及邻近地区的空间溢出效应;以不同地理区域及资源类型为观测点,其影响存在异质性。据此,应以助推科技生产力提升为主攻方向,将高等教育资源视作促进新质生产力发展的关键价值投资;引导教育链与产业链深度融合,在传统增长动力尚有潜力、高等教育规模效应未达拐点时做出快速响应;树立新质生产力发展的空间关联意识,以区域协同发展为抓手优化高等教育资源配置。

Based on panel data from 30 provinces in China from 2012 to 2021,a new quality productive forces evaluation index system is constructed using technology productivity,digital productivity,and green productivity as primary indicators to explore the impact mechanism of higher education resource allocation on the development of new quality productive forces.The results indicate that the allocation of higher education resources can promote the development of new quality productive forces and play a mediating role through industrial transformation and upgrading.The impact of higher education resource allocation on the development of new quality productive forces exhibits a"s"-shaped growth cycle with dual threshold effects and spatial spllover effects that benefit neighboring regions.There is heterogeneity in the impact of different geographical regions and resource types as observation points.Based on this,the main direction should be to promote the improvement of technological productivity,and higher education resources should be regarded as key value investments to promote the development of new quality productive forces.Guide the deep integration of the education chain and the industry chain,and respond quickly when traditional growth drivers still have potential and the scale effect of higher education has not reached a turning point.Establish a spatial correlation awareness for the development of new quality productive forces,and optimize the allocation of higher education resources through regional coordinated development.