双向FDI协调发展对中国区域经济韧性的影响研究

Research on the Influence of Coordinated Development of Two-way FDI on Regional Economic Resilience in China

构建高水平开放型经济新优势,推动双向FDI高效互动与协调发展,是提升中国区域经济韧性的重要路径。基于2003-2021年中国30个省市区面板数据,运用固定效应、中介效应和空间杜宾模型实证分析双向FDI协调发展对中国区域经济韧性的影响及作用机理。结果表明:双向FDI协调发展显著促进了区域经济韧性提升,该结论在一系列稳健性检验后依然成立;区域经济韧性存在空间依赖性,双向FDI协调发展对邻近地区经济韧性具有显著的正面溢出效应;机制检验表明,双向FDI协调发展通过提升资源配置效率和技术创新水平间接促进区域经济韧性提升;拓展性分析发现,双向FDI协调发展对区域经济韧性的提升效应由东部地区向西部地区依次减弱,考虑税赋冲击、金融危机以及人口结构冲击后双向FDI协调发展对区域经济韧性仍具有显著的促进效应。文章澄清了双向FDI协调发展对区域经济韧性的影响机理,对如何通过双向FDI政策赋能区域经济韧性提升提供了更为宽广的思路。

Building new advantages of a high-level open economy and promoting efficient interaction and coordinated development of two-way FDI is an important way to enhance regional economic resilience in China.Based on the panel data of Chinese 30 provinces and municipalities from 2003 to 2021,this paper empirically analyzes the influence of the coordinated development of twoway FDI on regional economic resilience by using fixed effects,mediating effect and spatial Durbin model.The results show that the coordinated development of two-way FDI significantly promotes the regional economic resilience,the conclusion is still valid after a series of robust tests.Regional economic resilience is spatially dependent,and the coordinated development of two-way FDI has a positive spillover effect on the improvement of economic resilience in neighboring regions.Mechanism test shows that the coordinated development of two-way FDI can indirectly promotes the regional economic resilience through raising the efficiency of resource allocation and the level of technological innovation.The promoting effect of the coordinated development of two-way FDI on regional economic resilience was weakened from the eastern region to the western region.Considering the impact of tax,financial crisis and the shock of population structure,the coordinated development of two-way FDI still has a significant promoting effect on regional economic resilience.This paper clarifies the influence mechanism of the coordinated development of two-way FDI on regional economic resilience,and provides a broader idea on how to enhance regional economic resilience through twoway FDI policy.