以改革为动力坚定不移完成全年经济社会发展目标任务——2024年上半年经济形势分析与政策建议

Driven by Reform,Steadfastly Complete the Annual Economic and Social Development Goals and Tasks——Economicsituation analysis and policy suggestions for the first half of 2024

2024年上半年,我国经济延续恢复向好态势,经济总量稳步扩大,经济结构不断优化,物价水平保持平稳,呈现“量增、质升、价稳”特征。但应注意到,现阶段国内有效需求依然不足、房地产市场延续偏弱走势、地方财政收支矛盾依然突出、货币政策传导机制需要进一步完善、外部不确定性风险明显上升。建议要以改革为动力,加大宏观调控力度,实施好积极的财政政策;保持货币政策的稳健性,全面促进消费,深入挖掘内需潜力;着力加快构建房地产发展新模式,持续扩大高水平对外开放;扭转市场预期,提振社会信心,增强经济持续回升向好态势。

In the first half of 2024,China's economy continued to recover and improve,with steady expansion of the total economic output,continuous optimization of the economic structure,and stable price levels,showing the characteristics of'quantity increase,quality improvement,and price stability".It should be noted that China's economic operation has also en-countered some problems in development and transformation.The economic operation has become differentiated,domestic ef-fective demand is insufficient,risks and hidden dangers in the real estate market still exist,local fiscal revenue and expenditure contradictions are prominent,monetary policy transmission is not smooth,and the adverse effects of external environmental changes have increased.To steadfastly complete the annual economic and social development goals and tasks,we should take reform as the driving force,increase macroeconomic regulation,implement a proactive fiscal policy,maintain the stability of monetary policy,comprehensively promote consumption,deeply tap into the potential of domestic demand,focus on building a new model of real estate development,continue to expand high-level opening up to the outside world,reverse market expec-tations,boost social confidence,and enhance the sustained upward trend of the economy.