双碳背景下有机污染物防治的政策量化

Quantitative Research on Organic Pollutant Policy under the Dual Carbon Background

在“双碳”目标的背景下,推进减污降碳对于增强生态文明建设和维护环境及人民健康具有重要意义。本文基于此背景,在对我国颁布实施的有机污染物防治相关政策进行系统梳理的基础上,运用内容分析与文本挖掘的方法,构建政策文本量化(Policy modeling consistency,PMC)指数模型,并借助该模型对选取的八项代表性政策内容进行实证分析。八项代表性政策的PMC指数均值为5.42,政策整体制定水平较高。总体而言,我国有机污染物防治相关政策制定的依据充分、目标明确,科学性和有效性均较好,但政策性质、政策时效、激励约束和政策目标等方面仍存在改进空间,未来须从增强长中短期政策协调性、丰富激励约束手段、加强源头治理以及注重人民生命健康等方面进行完善。

In the context of the peak of carbon emissions and the goal of carbon neutrality,it is of great significance to promote pollution reduction and carbon reduction in order to enhance the construction of an ecological civilization and maintain the environment and the health of the population.This paper employs a systematic approach to examine the effectiveness of organic pollutant prevention and control policies in China,which have been implemented in the context of the"dual-carbon"strategy.The analysis employs content analysis and text mining techniques to construct a quantitative policy modeling consistency index model of policy texts andconduct empirical analyses of the content of the eight representative policies selected using this model.The average value of the PMC index for the eight representative policies is 5.42,indicating that the overall level of policy formulation is high.In general,China's policies related to organic pollutant prevention and control have been formulated on the basis of sufficient evidence,with clear objectives,and good scientific quality and effectiveness.Nevertheless,there is still scope for enhancement in the areas of policy nature,policy timeliness,incentives and constraints,and policy objectives.This should be achieved in the future by enhancing the coordination of long-,medium-,and short-term policies,enriching the incentives and constraints,strengthening the management of sources,and focusing on the wellbeing of the people,among other measures.