黄河流域市域文旅产业发展潜力评估及等级序列识别

Evaluation and Dominance Hierarchy Identification of the Cultural Tourism Development Potential in the Yellow River Basin at the Prefecture Level

文旅产业发展潜力是旅游目的地发展过程中潜在的,能够被发掘出来以促进文化旅游持续发展的能力。文章首先基于内外动因逻辑构建了评估指标体系,测算了黄河流域65个市域的文旅产业发展潜力,并对黄河流域文旅产业发展潜力空间特征及等级序列进行了探讨。结果表明:①发展环境和科技创新是黄河流域文旅产业发展潜力的重要因子。②黄河流域文旅产业发展潜力整体偏低,空间上存在极化现象,呈现出以西安、郑州和青岛为核心,以济南、兰州、呼和浩特和太原为次中心的空间分布特征,潜力增长极主要是历史文化名城类的优秀旅游城市。③黄河流域文旅产业发展潜力区划分为5个等级:全优潜力区、重点潜力区、一般潜力区、亚潜力区和后备潜力区,其中属于亚潜力区和后备潜力区的占总样本市域的65.28%。④在省域尺度上,文旅产业发展潜力由高到低依次为:山东、陕西、内蒙古、河南、青海、山西、甘肃、宁夏,其中山东和内蒙古的文旅产业发展潜力等级序列相对完善,河南省相对较完善,其他省域的潜力等级序列均不完善。

Cultural tourism development potential is the potential in the development process of tourist destinations,which can be explored to promote the sustainable development of cultural tourism.Based on the internal and external motivation,this paper constructs and evaluates the evaluation index system of cultural tourism development potential in65 prefecture-level cities in the Yellow River basin,and analyzes its spatial characteristics and dominance hierarchy.The results show that:1)Urban environment and technology innovation are key factors for urban cultural tourism development in the Yellow River basin.2)The development potential of cultural tourism in the Yellow River basin is low on the whole,with spatial polarization phenomenon,which shows the spatial distribution characteristics taking Xi'an,Zhengzhou,and Qingdao as the core areas,taking Jinan,Lanzhou,Hohhot,and Taiyuan as the sub-centre areas.The potential growth poles are mainly excellent tourist cities of historical and cultural cities.3)The development potential of cultural tourism in the Yellow River basin can be divided into five types of areas:full potential area,significant potential area,intermediate potential area,subpotential area and back-up potential area,cities belonging to subpotential areas and back-up potential areas account for 65.28%of the whole.4)At the provincial level,the development potential index of cultural tourism from high to low is as follows:Shandong,Shaanxi,Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,Henan,Qinghai,Shanxi,Gansu and Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region,among which Shandong and Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region have relatively perfect dominance hierarchy of cultural tourism development potential,and Henan Province is relatively good dominance hierarchy,and other provinces is not perfect.