抑制或促进:户外休闲活动对居民再生育意愿的影响——基于CGSS2021数据的分析

Inhibition or Promotion:the Effect of Outdoor Leisure Activities on ResidentsWillingness to Reproduce—Based on CGSS2021 data

提高再生育意愿是我国人口发展面临的现实和迫切需要解决的问题。以休闲理论和人口学理论为基础,从户外休闲活动产生的前置条件和内在价值出发,探讨户外休闲活动对居民再生育意愿的影响机理,并利用CGSS2021数据实证分析了户外休闲活动和居民再生育意愿的关系。结果显示,户外休闲活动能够促进居民再生育意愿,在控制了内生性因素后,结果仍然稳健。机制分析表明,户外休闲活动通过健康效应与和谐效应对再生育意愿产生影响。研究旨在为优化生育配套政策提供决策依据。

Improving the populations reproductive intention is a realistic and urgent problem that Chinas population development is confronted.Based on the leisure theory and demographic theory,this study analyzes the influence mechanism of outdoor leisure activities on peoples reproductive intention from their preconditions and intrinsic value of outdoor leisure activities,and empirically analyzes the relationship between outdoor leisure activities and residentswillingness to reproduce by using data from the Chinese General Social Survey(CGSS2021).According to the findings,outdoor leisure activities will promote residentsreproductive intention,and the results remain sound after controlling for endogenous factors.Mechanism studies show that outdoor leisure activities affect reproductive intention through health effects and harmony effects.The research results provide decision-making basis for optimizing Chineses fertility support policies.