基于fsQCA方法的生产安全事故致因组态研究——以石化行业为例

Research on the Cause Configuration of Production Safety Accidents Based on fsQCA MethodTake the Petrochemical Industry as an Example

为探究石化行业安全事故与各事故致因因素之间的因果关系,以30起石化行业典型事故案例为研究对象,综合运用事故致因理论、模糊集定性比较分析方法(fsQCA)和群组分析法,分析不同条件组态对石化行业安全事故发生的影响机制。分析结果表明:人为操作失误、设备失效或老化、缺乏安全意识、超负荷运行和周期性检修缺失是造成生产安全事故的主要原因;人为操作失误、缺乏安全意识和周期性检修缺失3种因素共同构成的组态条件极易诱发生产安全事故。研究结果有助于为石化行业安全生产管理提供新视角。

In order to explore the causal relationship between safety accidents and various accident-causing factors in the pet-rochemical industry,30 typical accident cases in the petrochemical industry are taken as the research objects,the accident causation theory,fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis method(fsQCA)and cluster analysis are comprehensively applied to analyze the influence mechanism of different condition groupings on the occurrence of safety accidents in the petrochemical industry.The analysis results show that human operation errors,equipment failure or aging,lack of safety awareness,over-loaded operation and lack of periodic maintenance are the main causes of production safety accidents..The configuration con-ditions composed of human operational errors,lack of safety awareness,and periodic maintenance deficiencies can easily trigger production safety accidents.The research results can help to provide new perspectives for the management of produc-tion safety in the petrochemical industry.