一种新的粮食安全测度方法及对共同富裕的影响研究

A New Method for Measuring Food Security and Its Impact on Common Prosperity

粮食安全关乎社会和谐以及人民群众的获得感、幸福感、安全感,在全面推进中国式现代化和扎实推动共同富裕进程中发挥着底层基石的作用。本文在重新解读粮食安全内涵的前提下,构建由“粮”安全和“食”安全协调发展的粮食安全测度体系,并通过障碍度模型分析影响粮食安全的主要因素,在此基础上进一步探讨粮食安全对共同富裕的影响。结果表明:我国粮食安全水平在2013—2021年间实现了由中度失调向良好协调的跨越式发展;耕地、农业技术水平、粮食产量波动情况、农化产品使用和粮食价格指数等是影响粮食安全的最大障碍因素;粮食安全对共同富裕的影响具有系统性,必须协调推进“粮”安全和“食”安全,才能助力共同富裕水平提升。最后,提出在中国式现代化建设背景下确保我国粮食安全,助推全体人民早日实现共同富裕的对策建议。

Food security is related to social harmony and the people’s sense of accessibility,well-being and security,and plays the role of a cornerstone in comprehensively advancing Chinese-style modernization and solidly promoting the process of common prosperity.On the premise of reinterpreting the connotation of food security,this article constructed a food security measurement system that coordinated the development of“food”security and“eating”security,and analyzed the main factors affecting food security through an obstacle model.On this basis,it further explored the impact of food security on common prosperity.The results showed that,China’s level of food security had made a leap from moderately unbalanced to well-coordinated during the period 2013-2021;Cultivated land,agricultural technology level,fluctuation of grain yield,use of agricultural chemicals,and grain price index were the biggest obstacles affecting food security;The impact of food security on common prosperity was systematic,and it was necessary to coordinate the promotion o“f food”security an“d eating”security in order to help improve the level of common prosperity.Finally,the paper put forward countermeasures and suggestions to ensure China’s food security and promote the early realization of common prosperity of all people in the context of Chinese path to modernization.