人力资本投入对东三省产业结构升级的影响——基于FDI视角的空间计量模型实证检验

Impact of human capital investment on the industrial structure upgrading in the eastern three provinces——Empirical test of a spatial econometrics model based on FDI

东三省是我国传统的工业基地。从人力资本投入的角度着手,讨论引起东三省产业结构升级的因素。以2012年至2021年东三省地级市产业结构为研究对象,利用空间计量模型实证检验了人力资本投入对产业结构升级的影响及其空间溢出效应,以及外商直接投资的调节作用。实证结果表明,东三省地区人力资本投入对产业结构升级具有显著的正向影响,同时这一影响具备空间溢出效应,显示出人力资本投入增加形成了区域协同发展的效果。此外,外商直接投资显著促进了东三省地区人力资本投入与产业结构升级的关系。

As a traditional industrial base in China,the three northeastern provinces are discussed in this article from the perspective of human capital investment,discussing the factors that have caused the upgrading of the industrial structure in this region.This article uses prefecture-level cities in the three northeastern provinces from 2012 to 2021 as the research object,and uses spatial econometric models to empirically test the impact of human capital investment on the upgrading of industrial structure and its spatial spillover effect,as well as the moderating effect of foreign direct investment.The empirical results show that human capital investment in the three northeastern provinces has a significant positive impact on the upgrading of industrial structure,and this impact has spatial spillover effects,indicating regional coordinated development resulting from increased human capital investment.In addition,foreign direct investment significantly promotes the relationship between human capital investment and industrial structure upgrading in the three northeastern provinces.