电-氢-碳耦合促进新能源基地开发模式研究

Research on the Development Model of New Energy Bases Based on the Electricity-hydrogen-carbon Synergy

实现全球“碳中和”,核心是推动能源绿色低碳转型,重要举措是推动新能源大规模基地化开发和高效消纳。针对偏远、水电不足地区新能源基地开发面临的低碳调节手段不足、电网配置和消纳能力有限、“风光火”开发模式降碳难等问题与挑战,提出了基于电-氢-碳协同的新能源基地发展思路和开发模式,将氢基产业发展与新能源开发消纳、煤电灵活低碳转型深度融合,同时结合绿氢、绿氨、绿色甲醇等氢基产品制取工艺的技术发展和调节能力提升,量化分析绿电与绿色氢/氨/甲醇在终端消费市场的竞争力及经济效益,研判不同时期新能源基地开发与氢基产业协同发展的适用模式及应用时序,展望新能源基地电-氢-碳协同开发模式在中国三北地区以及北非等海外地区的应用前景。

Achieving global “carbon neutrality” designates the energy sector as the primary battleground.Promoting largescale,centralized development of new energy bases is a crucial step towards green and low-carbon transformation of the energy industry.In response to the challenges faced by new energy base development in remote areas with insufficient hydropower,such as the lack of low-carbon regulation methods,limited grid configuration and consumption capacity,and the need for improvement in the “wind-solar-thermal” development model,this paper proposes a development concept and model for new energy bases based on the synergy of electricity-hydrogencarbon.By integrating the technological development and regulatory capacity enhancement of hydrogen-based products like green hydrogen,green ammonia,and green methanol,the paper analyzes the competitiveness and economic benefits of green electricity and green hydrogen in the terminal consumer market.It also assesses the applicable models and paths for the coordinated development of new energy bases and hydrogenbased industries in different stages of development,and looks forward to the potential of the electricity-hydrogen-carbon collaborative development model in China's northern regions and overseas areas like North Africa.