全球碳中和战略行动政策量化评价与前沿发展趋势研究

Quantitative Evaluation and Development Trends of Global Carbon Neutrality Strategic Actions and Policies

【目的】通过科学量化评价主要发达国家/地区碳中和战略行动政策,推动我国碳达峰碳中和政策的制定与工作部署。【方法】深度挖掘全球主要发达国家/地区碳中和战略行动政策,优化政策量化PMC指数模型,并以Web of Science核心数据库为文献来源考察碳中和相关技术演化路径,探讨全球碳中和战略行动特点与发展趋势。【结果】日本在2021年更新颁布的《2050碳中和绿色增长战略》内容制定最为全面。碳中和领域相关学科和技术发展趋势具有交叉性和多边合作性。中国科学院和清华大学是全球碳中和领域机构合作网络关键枢纽。【局限】研究方法属于传统技术优化手段,研究对象仅针对部分国家/地区。【结论】制定碳中和战略行动政策时需从国家层面出发,联合尽可能多的领域机构参与研讨,充分利用新兴科研技术,加强全球人才交流与合作,有力支撑能源清洁转型,加快实现“双碳”目标。

[Objective]This paper scientifically quantifies and evaluates the strategic policies of carbon neutrality in major developed countries/regions.It aims to promote the deployment of carbon peaking and neutrality policies in China.[Methods]First,we explored the strategic actions and policies of major developed countries/regions regarding carbon neutrality.Then,we optimized the Policy Quantification PMC index model.Third,we investigated the evolution path of carbon neutrality-related technologies using the Web of Science core database.Finally,we discussed the characteristics of global carbon neutrality strategic actions and development trends.[Results]J apan's“2050 Carbon Neutrality and Green Growth Strategy”,updated and issued in 2021,is the most comprehensive.The development trends of disciplines and technologies in carbon neutrality exhibit interdisciplinary and multilateral cooperation.The Chinese Academy of Sciences and Tsinghua University in China occupy the key hubs in the global institutional cooperation network.[Limitations]Our research method involves optimizing traditional technical means and is limited to major countries/regions.[Conclusions]When formulating carbon neutrality strategic action policies,we need to start from the national level and involve as many interdisciplinary institutions as possible in the discussion.We also need to fully use emerging research technologies and strengthen global exchanges and cooperation.It will effectively support our clean energy transition and accelerate the achievement of the“double carbon”goals.