新加坡华人人口发展特征探析(1960-2023)

Demographic Characteristics of the Chinese Population in Singapore(1960-2023)

基于新加坡官方人口统计数据,论文分析了1960年以来新加坡华人人口的发展特征,探讨了华人人口比例下降及人口结构变化的原因。研究发现,自20世纪80年代以来,新加坡华人人口比例持续下滑,至2023年降至历史最低水平。华人人口结构呈现少子化和快速老龄化的显著特征,其速度远超马来人和印度人。低生育率是导致华人人口比例和结构变化的核心要素,生育率的变化受到结婚和生育年龄推迟、女性受教育水平提高以及生育政策等多重因素的影响。本文为理解新加坡华人人口变化及其背后的社会经济因素提供了重要参考,同时也为应对类似人口问题的国家和地区提供了有益借鉴。

Through analyzing the data of Singaporean censuses between 1960 and 2023,the research reveals that the Chinese population in Singapore has been declining since the 1980s,and dropped to its lowest level in 2023.In addition,the Chinese population is characterized by a low fertility rate and is also rapidly aging faster than that of Malays and Indians.The structural changes in Chinese population are primarily associated with a low Chinese birth rate,which may be attributed to a number of factors such as ethnic Chinese delays in marrying and childbearing,women’s better education,and government policy on fertility.