排污权交易对福建绿色发展效率的影响研究

Study on the Impact of Emission Trading on Green Development Efficiency in Fujian Province

绿色发展是一种基于传统发展模式的可持续发展的创新模式,提高绿色发展的关键是提高绿色发展效率。为进一步检验排污权交易政策对福建省绿色发展效率的影响,该文首先采用数据包络分析方法的超效率模型测算绿色发展效率,其次将2011-2020年未实际开展排污权交易的省份作为控制组,通过合成控制法分析排污权交易对福建省绿色发展效率的影响情况,并进行了稳健性检验。结果表明:(1)资源配置效率是导致绿色发展效率不均衡的关键因素。(2)福建省排污权交易政策的实施对绿色发展效率呈促进作用,从拟合的结果来看,2015年若未实施排污权交易,其绿色发展效率均值将比实际值有所下降。

Green development is an innovative mode of sustainable development based on the traditional development mode.The key to improving green development is to improve the efficiency of green development.In order to further test the impact of emission trading policy on the green development efficiency of Fujian Province,first,the study uses the data envelopment analysis of slacks-based measure to measure the green development efficiency,and then analyzes the impact of emission trading on the green development efficiency of Fujian through synthetic control method by taking provinces that hadn’t actually carried out emission trading from 2011 to 2020 as the control group.The results passed the robustness test,and they showed that resource allocation efficiency is the key factor leading to the unbalanced efficiency of green development.The implementation of emission trading policy in Fujian has a significant effect on the promotion of green development efficiency.If emission trading is not implemented in 2015,the green development efficiency could still maintain the efficiency frontier level,and its average green development efficiency would decrease.