碳减排“时-空-效-益”统筹理论:总体框架

The Carbon Mitigation “Time-Space-Efficiency-Benefit”(TSEB)Coordination Theory:Overall Framework

碳减排是典型复杂系统工程,且相比一般工程,具备长周期、跨区域、多主体、多目标等特征,因此,亟需创立一套针对性强且系统完备的碳减排系统工程理论和方法,以指导相关减排技术研发与工程实践。基于此,在明确碳减排系统工程定义与特征基础上,归纳了碳减排面临的减多少、何时减、谁来减、如何减、何效果五个核心问题,凝练了碳减排短期与长期、局部与整体、政府管制与市场机制、发展与减排“四对”统筹难题,并建立了碳减排“时-空-效-益”统筹理论的总体框架,包括时间统筹、空间统筹、效率统筹、收益统筹四个理论维度。

Carbon emission reduction is a typical complex system engineering,and compared with general engineering,it has the characteristics of long-term,cross-regional,multi-agent,and multi-objective.Therefore,there is an urgent need to establish a highly targeted and systematically complete carbon emission reduction system engineering theory and method to guide the research and development of related emission reduction technologies and their practical applications.Based on the definitions and characteristics of carbon emission reduction system engineering,this paper systematically summarizes the five core issues:the scale of reductions,the optimal timing of reductions,the responsible parties,the methods of reduction,and the expected outcomes.It further synthesizes four critical trade-offs faced in emission reduction engineering:short-term versus long-term,regional versus global,government regulation versus market mechanisms,and development versus emission reduction.Consequently,the paper establishes the carbon mitigation “Time-Space-Efficiency-Benefit”(TSEB) coordination theory,encompassing four theoretical dimensions:time coordination,space coordination,efficiency coordination,and benefit coordination.