生育价值观对当代大学生生育意愿的代际影响

Effects of Values of Children on the Fertility Desires of Contemporary College Students

文章以某高校大学生及其父母为研究对象,探讨生育价值观对当代大学生生育意愿的影响以及父母的生育价值观对当代大学生生育意愿的代际影响。结果发现:(1)父母的平均生育意愿为1.50个孩子,实际生育数为2.29个孩子,当代大学生的生育意愿为1.04个孩子。(2)当代大学生的生育意愿与其父亲、母亲的生育意愿间的相关均不显著;父亲与母亲生育意愿间的相关也不显著;母亲的生育意愿与实际生育行为间的相关不显著;但父亲的生育意愿与实际生育行为间呈显著的正相关。(3)VOC+对当代大学生的生育意愿有正向预测作用;VOC-对当代大学生的生育意愿有负向预测作用。(4)当代大学生的生育意愿与父亲的生育价值观之间的相关不显著,但与母亲的生育价值观间的相关显著;父亲的VOC+对当代大学生的生育意愿没有正向预测作用,VOC-也没有负向预测作用;母亲的VOC+对当代大学生的生育意愿有正向预测作用,但VOC-却没有负向预测作用。研究结果有助于全面了解当代大学生的生育意愿及其影响因素,对提升当代大学生的生育意愿有启示意义。

This article takes college students and their parents from a certain university as the research objects,exploring the influence of fertility values on contemporary college students'fertility intentions,as well as the intergenerational impact of parents'fertility values on contemporary college students'fertility intentions.The results show that:(1)The average fertility desires of parents is 1.50 children,the actual number of children is 2.29,and the fertility desires of contemporary college students is 1.04 children.(2)The correlation between the fertility desires of contemporary college students and the fertility desires of their fathers and mothers is not significant;the correlation between the fertility desires of fathers and mothers is also not significant;the correlation between the mother's fertility desire and the actual fertility behavior is not significant;however,there is a significant positive correlation between father's fertility intention and actual fertility behavior.(3)VOC+has a positive predictive effect on contemporary college students'fertility desires;VOC-has a negative predictive effect on contemporary college students'fertility choices.(4)There is a non-significant correlation between contemporary college students'fertility desires and their fathers'fertility values,but a significant correlation with their mothers'fertility values;fathers'VOC+is not a positive predictor of contemporary college students'fertility desires,and VOC-is not a negative predictor;mothers'VOC+is a positive predictor of contemporary college students'fertility desires,but VOC-has no negative predictive effect.The research results contribute to a comprehensive understanding of the fertility intentions of contemporary college students and their influencing factors,which has enlightening significance for enhancing the fertility intentions of contemporary college students.