长江经济带农业经济韧性水平测度及影响因素分析

Measurement of Agricultural Economic Toughness and Analysis of Its Influencing Factors in the Yangtze River Economic Belt

长江经济带是联结东中西部合作推动长江上中下游高质量发展的协调发展带,探究各省农业经济韧性障碍因素,有利于重新整合农业资源、化解风险使农业经济高质量发展。基于2012—2021年长江经济带面板数据构建长江经济带农业经济韧性指标评价体系,使用熵值法、障碍度模型等研究方法对农业经济韧性进行影响因素分析并厘清其时空差异。结果表明:2012—2021年长江经济带农业经济韧性总体呈上升趋势,区域间差异是主要来源;各省农业经济韧性空间集聚模型以“H-H”或“L-L”为主;风险抵御和重构创新能力是主要障碍因素。为提升长江经济带农业经济韧性,应该因地制宜制定农业发展战略,强化农业基础设施建设,加大政府扶持力度。

The Yangtze River Economic Belt is a coordinated development belt linking the east,middle and west regions to promote the high-quality development of the upper,middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River,it is beneficial to reintegrate agricultural resources,defuse risks and make agricultural economy develop in high quality.Based on the panel data of the Yangtze River Economic Belt from^(2)012 to 2021,the evaluation system of agricultural economic resilience in the Yangtze River Economic Belt was established,using the methods of entropy value and obstacle degree model,this paper analyzes the influencing factors of agricultural economic toughness and clarifies its spatio-temporal difference.The results show that agricultaral economic resilience is on the rise from^(2)012 to 2021,and the spatial clustering model of agricultural resilience is mainly“H-H”or“L-L”;risk resistance and reconstruction innovation capability are the main obstacles.In order to enhance the agricultural economic resilience in the Yangtze River Economic Belt,we should formulate the agricultural development strategy,strengthen the agricultural infrastructure construction and increase the government support.