产业结构升级对新疆经济高质量发展的影响研究

The Effect of Industrial Structure Upgrading on the High-Quality Economic Development of 15 Prefectures(Cities)in Xinjiang

推动新疆经济从资源依赖型产业向以高技术、高附加值产业为主导的现代产业转型与升级,对实现新疆经济高质量发展具有重要意义。基于2011—2020年新疆15个地州(市)作为研究对象,采用双向固定效应模型剖析产业结构升级对新疆经济高质量发展的影响效应。实证研究表明,新疆15个地州(市)经济高质量发展水平逐渐提升,北疆各地州(市)经济高质量发展水平相较南疆各地州(市)提升更为显著,10年间南北疆各地州(市)经济高质量发展水平差距呈缩小趋势。整体来看,产业结构升级显著推动了新疆经济高质量发展,经济开放水平和劳动力素质对新疆经济高质量发展有促进作用。具体来看,北疆各地州(市)产业结构升级推动经济高质量发展的促进作用较南疆各地州(市)更为显著。产业结构升级与新疆经济高质量发展之间存在倒“U”型关系。基于此,提出通过合理规划新疆产业布局,促进不同产业间的协同发展,推动产业结构升级;持续释放南疆各地州(市)资源优势潜力,夯实工业基础,缩小南疆地区与北疆各地区经济发展差距,以实现新疆经济高质量发展。

Achieving high-quality economic growth in Xinjiang is of major relevance as it aims to transform the resource-dependent industry of the region into a high-tech,high-value sector.This study uses a two-way fixed effect model to examine the effects of industrial structure upgrading on the high-quality economic development of 15 Xinjiang prefectures(cities)'between 2011 and 2020.The empirical study reveals that most Xinjiang prefectures and cities have the high-quality economic development level,which is steadily increasing.The prefectures and cities in northern Xinjiang have a higher remarkable level of high-quality economic development than those in southern Xinjiang.Over the past ten years,there has been a trend toward a narrowing of the high-quality economic development gap between North and South Xinjiang.With all things considered,the upgrading of the industrial structure has aided in the excellent development of the Xinjiang economy.The degree of economic liberalization and the caliber of the labor force have encouraged Xinjiang’s economy to develop in a high-quality manner.More than in southern Xinjiang,the upgrading of the industrial structure in northern Xinjiang specifically encourages high-quality economic development.The modernization of Xinjiang’s industrial structure and its superior economic growth are correlated in an inverted“U”fashion.Based on this,it is proposed to promote synergistic development among different industries and upgrade the industrial structure through rational planning of the industrial layout in Xinjiang;to continue to unleash the potential of the resource advantages of the southern prefectures(cities),to consolidate the industrial base,and to narrow the gap between the economic development of the southern prefectures(cities)and that of the northern prefectures(cities),so as to realize the high-quality development of the Xinjiang economy.