江苏省卫生资源配置公平性及需求预测分析

Fairness and Demand Prediction Analysis of Health Resource Allocation in Jiangsu Province

目的:分析2022年江苏省卫生资源配置情况,预测江苏省各地市卫生资源需求。方法:运用集聚度从人口和地理分布两个方面评价江苏省卫生资源配置的公平性,分析不同地区卫生资源配置的差异,并采用卫生资源密度指数进行需求预测。结果:江苏省卫生资源按地理面积分布的公平性低于按人口分布的公平性,苏北地区、苏中地区和苏南地区卫生资源配置差异性较大,部分地区卫生资源缺口较大。结论:应综合考虑经济水平、人口密度及地理环境等因素,整合并优化省内卫生资源配置,缩小卫生资源配置的地区差异,增强省内卫生资源整体服务能力。

OBJECTIVE To analyze the allocation of health resources in Jiangsu in 2022 and to predict the demand for health re⁃sources in various regions of Jiangsu province.METHODS It used the agglomeration degree to judge the fairness of health resource allocation from both population and geographical distribution in Jiangsu province,analyzed the differences in health resource alloca⁃tion in different regions,and used the health resource density index for demand forecasting.RESULTS The fairness of health re⁃sources distribution in Jiangsu province based on geographical area was lower than that based on population distribution.There were significant differences in the allocation of health resources among northern,central,and southern regions of Jiangsu.There was a significant shortage of health resources in some regions.CONCLUSION Taking into account factors such as economic level,popula⁃tion density,and geographical environment,integrate and optimize the allocation of health resources within the province,narrow regional differences in health resource allocation,and enhance the overall service capacity of health resources within the province.