中国水利新质生产力评价及障碍因子诊断

Evaluation and Obstacle Factor Diagnosis of New Quality Productivity of Water Conservancy in China

发展水利新质生产力是推动我国水利事业乃至整个经济社会高质量发展的内在要求和重要着力点,而水利新质生产力评价及其发展的障碍因子诊断是目前亟待解决的关键性问题。从高科技、高效能、高质量和绿色4个维度构建了水利新质生产力评价指标体系,采用基于实码加速遗传算法的投影寻踪模型(RAGA-PP模型)对我国2021年31个省份的水利新质生产力发展水平进行了综合评价,并结合障碍度模型识别了影响其发展的主要障碍因子。结果表明:广东、江苏、浙江等东南部沿海省份的水利新质生产力发展水平相对较高,西藏、青海等西北部省份的相对较低;准则层障碍度排序为高科技>绿色>高质量>高效能;水利工业企业专利是制约水利新质生产力发展的关键障碍因子。

The development of water conservancy new quality productivity is to promote China′s water conservancy cause and even the entire economic and social development of high-quality inherent requirements and important focus.The evaluation of new quality productivity in water conservancy and the diagnosis of obstacles to its development are key issues that urgently need to be addressed.The evaluation index system of water conservancy new quality productivity is constructed from the four dimensions of high technology,high efficiency,high quality and green.A comprehensive evaluation of the development level of water conservancy new quality productivity in 31 provinces of China in 2021 was conducted using the Real-Coded Accelerated Genetic Algorithm-based Projection Pursuit Model(RAGA-PP model).The main obstacle factors affecting its development were identified by combining the obstacle degree model.The results are as follows.The development levels of new water conservancy productivity in southeastern coastal provinces such as Guangdong,Jiangsu,and Zhejiang are relatively high.The northwestern provinces such as Xizang and Qinghai are relatively low.The guideline tier barriers are ranked as high tech>greenness>high quality>high performance.The patent of water conservancy industry enterprise is the key obstacle factor restricting the development of water conservancy new quality productivity.