地方政府治理能力对碳排放的影响——基于中国240个城市的实证分析

Impact of Local Government Governance Capacity on Carbon Emissions--A Case Study of 240 Cities in China

地方政府治理是国家治理体系中的重要组成部分,在推动城市绿色低碳发展中发挥着重要作用。基于2010—2020年中国240个地级市的面板数据,测度中国地方政府治理能力和碳排放总量,采用固定效应模型实证分析了地方政府治理能力对碳排放的影响度及影响机制、异质性。研究发现:第一,地方政府治理能力对碳排放有显著抑制作用;第二,地方政府治理能力通过提高环境规制水平与降低政府支出抑制碳排放;第三,地方政府治理能力对城市碳排放的影响会因为城市区位、行政等级和资源禀赋的不同而具有显著差异。具体来说,中部和西部地区的政府治理能力对碳排放的影响显著,但在东部地区这一影响并不显著;普通地级市的政府治理能力对碳排放的影响显著,但在副省级城市和非副省级省会城市的影响则不显著;资源型城市的影响系数大于非资源型城市。最后,基于实证分析结果,提出相关政策建议。

Local government governance is an important part of the national governance system and plays an important role in promoting green and low-carbon urban development.Based on the panel data of 240 cities in China from 2010 to 2020,this paper measured the governance capacity and carbon emissions of local governments in China,and then used the fixed effect model to empirically analyze the impact of local government governance capacity on carbon emissions,and analyzed the impact mechanism and heterogeneity.The research finds that:firstly,the governance capacity of local governments has a significant inhibitory effect on carbon emissions.Secondly,the governance capacity of local governments suppresses carbon emissions by improving the level of environmental regulation and reducing government expenditures.Thirdly,the impact of local government governance capacity on urban carbon emissions will be significantly different due to different urban locations,administrative levels and resource endowments.The central and western regions,resource-based cities and prefecture-level cities can better leverage the effect of improving the governance capacity of local governments to promote carbon emission reduction.Finally,based on the empirical analysis results,relevant policy recommendations are put forward.