强制性减排政策、注意力调整与环境治理效率——基于断点回归设计

Mandatory Emission Reduction Policy,Attention Adjustment and Environmental Governance Efficiency:Based on Regression Discontinuity Design

基于委托代理理论和注意力分配视角,以2003—2020年地级市层面数据为研究样本,采用精确断点回归设计实证考察了“十一五”规划中的强制性减排政策对地方环境治理效率的影响和作用机理。研究发现:强制性减排政策对地方环境治理效率具有显著的促进作用,多种稳健性检验均得出一致结论;强制性减排政策提升了地方政府环境保护注意力和降低了经济增长注意力,通过“一升一降”优化了地方政府注意力分配,进而提高了环境治理效率;地方官员晋升激励越强和公众参与程度越高,强制性减排政策对地方环境治理效率的影响越明显。研究结论可为新时期政府制定合理的环境政策乃至完善国家环境治理体系提供有益启示。

Based on the principal-agent theory and the perspective of attention allocation,the sharp regression discontinuity design is used to empirically examine the impact and mechanism of the mandatory emission reduction policy(MERP)in the 11th Five-Year Plan on the environmental governance efficiency(EGE),using the data of the prefecture-level cities from 2003 to 2020.The results show that MERP has a significant role in promoting the EGE,and various robustness tests support this conclusion.MERP improves the EGE by increasing local governments attention to environmental protection and reducing economic growth.The stronger the promotion incentives for officials and the higher the degree of public participation,the more significant the effect of MERP on the EGE.The research findings provide useful implications for the government to develop reasonable environmental policies and even improve the national environmental governance system in the new era.