长江经济带旅游生态安全时空格局及影响因素

Spatiotemporal Pattern and Influencing Factors of Tourism Ecological Security in the Yangtze River Economic Belt

[目的]科学评价旅游生态安全对长江经济带旅游业高质量发展和低碳化转型具有重要现实和理论意义。[方法]以长江经济带为案例地,从效率视角采用“DPSIR-DEA”指标框架构建区域旅游生态安全评估体系,通过探索性空间分析、GTWR模型分析了2008—2019年长江经济带旅游生态安全的时空演化过程和影响因素。[结果](1) 2008—2019年长江经济带旅游生态安全呈现波动变化特征,表现为“W”型螺旋上升的趋势;(2) 2008—2019年长江经济带旅游生态安全时空演化存在较强的空间差异性,具有“整体稳定,局部波动”的特征,在空间上,中部区域旅游生态安全时空变化较小,长三角地区、成渝地区旅游生态安全波动性较大;(3)影响长江经济带旅游生态安全的主要因素有经济、社会、环境等方面,各个方面存在显著空间差异,此外,旅游生态安全影响因素存在较强的时空非平稳性。[结论]从效率视角切入长江经济带旅游生态安全的测算和评估,为旅游业高质量发展和区域旅游协调发展提供新的视角,有助于发挥好旅游业对长江经济带“共抓大保护、不搞大开发”战略的重要贡献价值。

[Objective] The aim of this study is to scientifically assess the tourism ecological safety,which is of great practical and theoretical significance for the high quality development and low carbon transformation of tourism in the Yangtze River Economic Belt.[Methods] The Yangtze River Economic Belt was taken as a case study.The ‘DPSIR-DEA' index framework was adopted to construct a regional tourism ecological safety assessment system from an efficiency perspective.The spatial and temporal evolution process and influencing factors of tourism ecological safety in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2008 to 2019 were analyzed through exploratory spatial analysis and GTWR model.[Results](1) From 2008 to 2019,the tourism ecological safety of the Yangtze River economic zone showed fluctuating change characteristics,showing a ‘W' spiral upward trend.(2) From 2008 to 2019,the spatial and temporal evolution pattern of tourism ecological safety of the Yangtze River economic zone had strong spatial variability,showing ‘overall stability,local fluctuations' characteristics,in space,the central region tourism ecological safety spatial variation was small,the Yangtze River Delta region,Chengdu-Chongqing region tourism ecological safety volatility.(3) The main factors affecting the Yangtze River economic belt tourism ecological safety were economic,social,environmental and other aspects,and there were significant spatial differences in various aspects.The existence of strong spatial and temporal non-smoothness of factors influencing tourism ecological safety were revealed.[Conclusion] The tourism ecological security in the Yangtze River Economic Zone from the perspective of efficiency were measured and evaluated to provide new perspectives for the high-quality development of tourism and the coordinated development of regional tourism.It will help to enable the value of tourism as an important contribution to the strategy of ‘Greater Protection,No Greater Development' of the Yangtze River Economic Belt.