福建省乡村振兴多维诊断评价及耦合协调分析

Multidimensional diagnostic evaluation and coupling coordination analysis of rural revitalization in Fujian Province

乡村振兴成效评价已由期初的单一维度逐渐转向系统融合,多维度诊断评价成效及其之间的耦合协调特征是进一步推动乡村全面振兴的关键。本研究以福建省为研究区,围绕产业兴旺、生态宜居、乡风文明、治理有效、生活富裕各维度,通过投影寻踪法和耦合协调度模型分析2018—2021年乡村振兴发展水平及各维度间的耦合协调关系,并运用地理探测器探究“人、地、业、财”因素对其产生的驱动机理。结果表明:1)各维度在时间上呈现波动变化,产业兴旺、生活富裕先增后减,其他维度缓慢上升;在空间上,闽北及沿海地区相较于闽西及闽南表现出较高的发展水平。2)整体耦合度保持较高水平,高耦合地市占比达88.5%;耦合协调度上,福州市、厦门市、龙岩市等地市相对稳定,漳州市、南平市有所下降。3)“地、财”因素对耦合协调性的促进作用显著高于“人、地”,“业、财”与其他因素的交互作用尤为显著。研究认为未来应进一步强化土地资源管理,增加财政支持力度,并促进财政支持与产业发展的相互促进,以推动乡村振兴向高质量协调发展迈进。

The evaluation of rural revitalization effects has evolved from a single dimension to a system integration approach.Multidimensional diagnostic assessment of performance and the coupling and coordination characteristics among them are key to further promoting comprehensive rural revitalization.This study focuses on Fujian Province,analyzing the development levels of rural revitalization from 2018 to 2021 and the coupling and coordination relationships among various dimensions such as prosperous industry,livable ecology,civilized villages,effective governance,and affluent life.The projection pursuit method and coupling coordination degree model were used,and geographical detectors were employed to explore the driving mechanisms of“human,land,industry,and finance”factors.The results show:1)Each dimension exhibits fluctuating changes over time,with prosperous industry and affluent life first increasing and then decreasing,while other dimensions gradually rise.Spatially,the northern and coastal regions of Fujian show higher development levels compared to the western and southern regions.2)The overall coupling degree remains at a high level,with the proportion of highly coupled cities reaching 88.5%.In terms of coupling coordination degree,Fuzhou,Xiamen,and Longyan remain relatively stable,while Zhangzhou and Nanping show some decline.3)The factors of“land and finance”have a significantly higher promoting effect on coupling coordination than“human and land”,with the interaction between“industry and finance”and other factors being particularly significant.The study suggests that future efforts should further strengthen land resource management,increase financial support,and promote the mutual reinforcement of financial support and industrial development to advance rural revitalization towards high-quality coordinated development.