政策支持、竞争压力与期刊发展——基于“中国科技期刊卓越行动计划”的经验证据

Policy Support,Competitive Pressure and Journal Development-Experience and Evidence from“Excellent Action Plan for Chinese STM Journals”

运用双重差分方法(DID),分别基于InCites数据库和CNKI数据库分析“中国科技期刊卓越行动计划”对期刊发展的影响。实证分析表明,总体上“卓越计划”对期刊发展有积极的促进作用。但相对于中文期刊,“卓越计划”对入选英文期刊的发展产生更大的政策支持效应。在构建相关指标的基础上,进一步从竞争压力的角度探究政策效应的边界,研究结果显示,“卓越计划”对竞争压力更大的期刊的政策支持作用更大。基于文章的研究结论,提出以下两点建议:期刊评价要坚持纵向比较与横向比较相结合,提高期刊评价的合理性和有效性;期刊支持计划要精准施策,以提升政策实施效果。

This article apply the Difference-in-Differences(DID)method to analyze the impact of the“Excellent Action Plan for Chinese STM Journals”on journal development,using data from the InCites and the CNKI.According to the emperical analysis on this paper,theres promotional effect from the“Plan”on the overall development of journal.Compared to Chinese journals,however,theres a greater policy support effect from the“Plan”on the development of English journals.Based on the relevant indicators,theres been a further research on boundaries of policy effects from the perspective of competitive pressure.The conclusion is the“Plan”offers greater policy support for journals facing greater competitive pressure.There are two suggestions as below.First,journal evaluation should be combined on both vertical comparison and transverse comparison to improve the rationality and effectiveness.Second,there should be more targetive policies for journal supportive plans to enhance the effectiveness of policy implementation.