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基于因果推断的运动科学研究方法架构及应用

Framework and Applications of Sports Science Research Methods Based on Causal Inference
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摘要 因果推断逻辑分析方法在运动科学研究中具有较高的应用价值和必要性。运动科学研究需要深入了解运动员表现背后的因果关系,而因果推断方法则为其提供了相应的数学量化工具。通过分析竞技体育实践中采用新技术的风险与收益的具体案例,能够凸显因果推断相对于相关性研究方法的优势。因果推断方法的步骤包括干预或观察研究对象、建立合适的模型以及处理混杂因素。常用的因果推断方法包括倾向得分匹配和工具变量法,两者在运动科学研究中的适用性较强、优势明显。为了提高因果推断结论的可靠性,数据质量控制是不可忽略的影响因素,根据不同的应用场景应用因果推断的具体方法和措施也有不同的最优解。基于因果推断的运动科学研究方法需要综合考虑多种因素,如研究设计、数据收集、模型构建和结果解释等。将因果推断方法与其他研究方法相结合,可以更全面地揭示运动科学研究中的因果关系。未来研究应深入探索因果推断方法在运动科学不同领域的应用及其在运动科学研究中的伦理和社会影响,以更深入地明晰因果推断方法在运动科学领域应用的重要性,提高研究结论的可信度,并为相关研究提供更可靠、易行的分析方法,促进运动科学研究的发展。 The causal inference logical analysis methods have high application value and necessity in sports science research.The need for an in-depth understanding of the causal relationships behind athletes’performance in sports science research is acknowledged,and causal inference methods provid the corresponding mathematical quantification tools.The advantages of causal inference over correlational research methods can be highlighted through the analysis of specific cases involving risk and benefit calculations of adopting new technologies in competitive sports practices.The steps of causal inference methods,including the intervention or observation of research subjects,the establishment of appropriate models,and the handling of confounding factors.The commonly used causal inference methods,such as propensity score matching and instrumental variable method,are identified as having strong applicability and advantages in sports science research.Data quality control is recognized as an indispensable factor to improve the reliability of causal inference conclusions,with optimal solutions for specific methods and measures according to application scenarios.Multiple factors,such as research design,data collection,model construction,and result interpretation,need to be comprehensively considered in sports science research methods based on causal inference.Combining the causal inference methods with other research methods can reveal the causal relationship in sports science more comprehensively.Future research should explore in depth explore the application of causal inference methods in different fields of sports science and its ethical and social impacts in sports science research.The importance of causal inference methods can be more clearly recognized by researchers in the field of sports science to improve the credibility of research conclusions,provide more reliable and feasible analysis methods for related research,and promote the development of sports science research.
作者 唐伟棣 所向 杨宸灏 李凤 闪博 刘宇 TANG Weidi;SUO Xiang;YANG Chenhao;LI Feng;SHAN Bo;LIU Yu(Shanghai University of Sport,Shanghai 200438,China)
机构地区 上海体育大学
出处 《中国体育科技》 北大核心 2024年第7期57-66,共10页 China Sport Science and Technology
基金 国家自然科学基金重点项目(11932013)。
关键词 因果推断 反事实推理 运动表现 策略评估 损伤预防 causal inference counterfactual sports performance strategy assessment injury prevention
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