郑州市大型体育赛事与城市体育文化耦合演化及影响因素

Evolution and Influencing Factors of Coupling of Large Sports Events and Urban Sports Culture in Zhengzhou City

为促进郑州市大型体育赛事与城市体育文化的协调发展,通过耦合协调度模型和灰色关联度分析法,定量分析了两系统2014—2021年的时序演化及影响因素。结果显示,两系统各要素之间相互影响、相互作用;两系统综合发展水平显著提升,大型体育赛事的整体发展水平高于城市体育文化发展水平,但是在2021年被反超;两系统耦合度变化率较小且缓慢波动,耦合协调度整体上在提高,直到2021年仅达到优质协调水平且有较大的上升空间;灰色关联度分析表明,在两系统中教育及文化娱乐消费支出、体育俱乐部数量、城镇化率是最重要的影响因素。

In order to promote the coordinated development of large-scale sports events and urban sports culture in Zhengzhou,the time series evolution and influencing factors of two systems from 2014 to 2021 were quantitatively analyzed by coupling coordination degree model and grey correlation analysis method.The results show that the elements of the two systems influence and interact with each other.The comprehensive development level of them has been significantly improved.The overall development level of large-scale sports events is higher than that of urban sports culture,but it was surpassed in 2021.The change rate of coupling degree is small and fluctuates slowly,and the coupling coordination degree is improving as a whole.Until 2021,only the high-quality coordination level is reached and there is large space for improvement.The grey correlation analysis shows that the consumption expenditure of education and cultural entertainment,the number of sports clubs and the urbanization rate are the most important influencing factors in two systems.