美印地缘军事关系评价与分析

Evaluation and Analysis of US-India Geo-military Relations

新世纪以来,美印地缘军事关系迅速升温,在军事安全和防务领域展开了前所未有的合作。尤其是近年来,美印联合推动“印太战略”的实施,使我国周边地缘环境日趋复杂。在此地缘现实基础上,从军事行为出发,构建了地缘军事关系评价指标体系,采用层次分析法和熵权法进行组合赋权,利用模糊综合评判法对美印地缘军事关系进行了综合评价与分析。结果表明:新世纪后美印地缘军事关系整体上呈稳定上升趋势,尤其在奥巴马第2任期后发展愈加迅猛;在军事联盟与伙伴方面表现为跨越式发展,在军事访问与对话方面呈现波动上升趋势,在联演联训与救援、军事情报与教育方面为持续推进,在军事装备与部署方面为低速发展;双方地缘军事关系的发展仍受双边战略目标及制度政策等因素的制约。

Since the beginning of the new century,US-India geo-military relations have rapidly warmed up,with unprecedented cooperation in military security and defense.And in recent years,the United States and India have jointly promoted the implementation of the“Indo-Pacific Strategy”,which has made China's surrounding geopolitical environment more and more complicated.Based on the geopolitical reality,the evaluation index system of geo-military relationship from military behavior is constructed in this paper.Analytic hierarchy process and entropy weight method are used to assign weights.And the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is used to comprehensively evaluate and analyze the geo-military relations between the United States and India.The results show that the trend of the geo-military relations between the United States and India is steady and upward after the new century,especially after Obama's second term.In terms of military alliances and partners,it is the leaping development.In terms of military dialogues and visits,it is volatile and upward.It has continued to advance in joint exercises,training and rescue,military intelligence and education,and is the slow development in military equipment and deployment.The development of geo-military relations between the two sides is still restricted by bilateral strategic objectives,institutional policies and other factors.