2024年度国内玉米市场形势分析及展望

Domestic Corn Market Situation and Prospects in 2024

2024年,国内玉米现货价格弱势振荡,阶段性行情表现明显,市场购销较2023年趋于活跃,但下游需求仍较疲弱,消费量预计增量有限。随着秋收临近,部分地区受灾对整体形势影响有限,新作玉米产量存在丰产预期,国内玉米市场供应仍较充裕;节日效应带动下,饲料养殖、深加工等需求将有所回暖,但在原料供应结构继续保持多元化态势下,市场供需将保持宽松格局,预计新粮上市后玉米市场价格将呈现平稳偏弱走势。

Since 2024,domestic corn prices show a slight upward and downward trend,the performance of price fluctuation varies at different stages,but the overall price level is lower than that in the same period in 2023.Both buyers and sellers in the market are more enthusiastic about participating than last year,but the demand is still not good,with expected limited growth in total annual consumption.As the autumn harvest approaches,the disaster in some areas has led to a decrease in production,but the impact on total production is limited,the domestic corn harvest is in sight,and the supply is relatively sufficient.Driven by holiday consumption,consumption of feed,corn starch,alcohol,etc.will increase.However,due to sufficient supply of raw materials,it is expected that domestic corn prices will remain stable and weak in the later period.