乡村数字化何以赋能农业经济韧性?——以民族八省区为例

How can rural digitalization enhance agricultural economies resilience?——take the eight ethnic prov⁃inces and autonomous regions as an example

为深入探究民族地区乡村数字化发展对农业经济韧性的影响,在系统梳理作用机制的基础上,构建了2010—2021年中国民族八省(自治区)数字乡村与农业经济韧性的综合评价指标体系,并运用双固定效应、中介效应等模型实证分析了民族地区乡村数字化对农业经济韧性的影响效应和差异表征。结果表明,各民族地区二者综合发展水平均呈逐年上升态势,内蒙古、广西、云南等地发展水平较高;乡村数字化可以通过促进产业结构高级化、提升信贷支农力度和农业技术水平,提高农业经济韧性;乡村数字化对农业经济韧性的各维度影响程度不同,且该影响存在城镇化水平、地形地貌特征和传统基建水平的异质性。据此,建议强化农村金融服务效率,推广农业保险普适性;深度整合“互联网+”与特色农业资源,积极创建农户专业合作社;全面培育乡村发展人才队伍,大力支持农业科技研发与成果转化。

In order to deeply explore the impact of rural digital development in ethnic areas on the resilience of agricultural econo⁃my,this paper establishes a comprehensive evaluation index system of digital countryside and agricultural economic resilience in eight ethnic provinces(autonomous regions)of China from 2010 to 2021 on the basis of a systematic review of the mechanism.The paper also empirically analyzes the different effects of rural digitalization on agricultural economic resilience in ethnic areas by using dual fixed effect and intermediary effect models.The results show that the comprehensive development level of the two eth⁃nic regions increases year by year,and the development level of Inner Mongolia,Guangxi and Yunnan is higher;Rural digitaliza⁃tion can improve the resilience of agricultural economy by promoting the upgrading of industrial structure,enhancing the strength of credit support to agriculture and the level of agricultural technology.The impact of rural digitalization on the resilience of agri⁃cultural economy is different in each dimension,and the impact is heterogeneous in the level of urbanization,topographic features and traditional infrastructure.Therefore,it is suggested to strengthen the efficiency of rural financial services and promote the uni⁃versality of agricultural insurance,improve the in-depth integration of"Internet+"and characteristic agricultural resources,and actively establish farmers'professional cooperatives;comprehensively cultivate talents for rural development,and vigorously sup⁃port the research and development of agricultural science and technology and the transformation of achievements.