“一带一路”倡议与国内居民主观福利

The Belt and Road Initiative and the subjective well-being ofdomestic residents

“一带一路”倡议的核心目标之一是让建设成果更好地惠及全体人民.本文基于2010–2018年中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)数据,利用双重差分法评估“一带一路”倡议的主观福利效应.研究发现,“一带一路”倡议的实施显著提高了国内居民主观福利,上述促增效应主要来源于城市交通基础设施水平提升、居民消费规模扩张以及消费结构优化升级.进一步研究表明,“一带一路”倡议的主观福利效应具有“亲贫性”特征,在收入水平和社会地位较低的群体中更为突出.此外,本文还发现“一带一路”倡议对居民主观福利的促增作用在第三产业占比较高和“丝绸之路经济带”城市中体现得更为明显.本文为理解“一带一路”倡议的经济效应提供了新视角,同时强调,深度融入共建“一带一路”大格局、加快建设现代化交通基础设施网络体系、多措并举促进消费扩容升级对“一带一路”倡议背景下有效提升国内居民主观福利具有重要启示意义.

One of the core objectives of the Belt and Road Initiative is to make the construction achievements better benefit all people.Based on the data of China Family Panel Studies(CFPS)from 2010 to 2018,this paper uses the difference-in-difference method to assess the subjective well-being effect of the Belt and Road Initiative.The paper finds that the Belt and Road Initiative has significantly improved the subjective welfare of domestic residents,and the above effect are mainly comes from the improvement of urban transportation infrastructure,the expansion of resident consumption scale,and the upgrading of resident consumption.Further research shows that the subjective well-being effect of the Belt and Road Initiative has the characteristic of“pro poverty”, which is more prominent among groups with lower income and social status.In addition, this paper also finds that the promotion effect of the Belt and Road Initiativeon residents’ subjective well-being is more obvious in cities with a higher proportion of thetertiary industry and in the cities along the Silk Road Economic Belt. This paper providesa new perspective for understanding the economic effects of the Belt and Road Initiative. Atthe same time, it emphasizes that more in-depth integration into the joint construction of theBelt and Road, accelerating the construction of a modern transportation infrastructure networksystem, and taking multiple measures to promote consumption expansion and upgrading haveimportant implications for effectively improving the subjective well-being of domestic residentsin the context of the Belt and Road Initiative.