反无人机作战方案评估方法研究

Research on Evaluation Method of Anti-UAV Schemes

反无人机作战中涉及的手段丰富、装备复杂,需考虑的因素众多,致使对防御作战方案的综合评估及优化存在较大难度。鉴此,基于层次分析法开展的作战方案综合评估,在构建目标层、准则层和指标层等三层指标体系的基础上,结合专家调研和打分,构造判断矩阵,全面评估各级指标的权重向量,进而推算出各底层指标相对顶层目标的影响权重。在此基础上,借助军事仿真的手段得出底层指标的模拟值,结合其对应的影响权重,即可在不同作战方案间进行无量纲的对比评估,解决了由可测度较高的指标推导作战方案总体评估结论的难题,同时还可更好地发现对提升作战效能影响较大的因素,以及为高效优化作战方案找出更为现实可行的途径。

There are abundant means and complex equipments involved in the anti-UAV operation,and many factors need to be considered,which makes the comprehensive evaluation and optimization of the combat schemes more difficult.Based on the analytic hierarchy process(AHP),the comprehensive evaluation of combat schemes is carried out on the basis of constructing a three-tier index system including the objective layer,criterion layer and index layer,combining with experts′investigation and scoring,constructing a judgment matrix,comprehensively evaluating the weight vector of indicators at all levels,and then calculating the influence weight of each base indicator relative to the top objective.Overall evaluation results of different combat schemes can be obtained according to the simulation results of anti-UAV swarm combat,their corresponding index weights and comparability.The problem of deriving overall evaluation conclusions of combat schemes from relatively measurable indicators can be solved.At the same time,factors that have a greater influence on improving combat effectiveness can be discovered more easily.And to find a more realistic and feasible way to optimize the operational plan efficiently.