湖南省农业经济韧性空间差异与影响因素研究

Study on Spatial Differences and Influencing Factors of Agricultural Economic Resilience in Hunan Province

农业是维护社会安定和促进经济发展的基石,农业经济韧性的增强有利于农业产业高质量发展,对推进乡村振兴和实现农业现代化具有重要实践意义。文章以湖南省14个市州为研究样本,通过熵值法全面测度了2008—2021年各市州的农业经济韧性,运用泰尔指数及分解探究农业经济韧性的差异特征与差异来源,并在此基础上结合地理探测器分析农业经济韧性的影响因素。结果表明,2008—2021年,湖南省各市州的农业经济韧性水平提升较快,其中长沙市农业经济韧性均值最高,张家界市农业经济韧性均值最低;研究期间内,湖南省农业经济韧性的总体差异逐年递减,区域内差异对总体差异的贡献率最大;农业经济规模、生产要素投入、政府支持力度与地区市场环境是湖南省农业经济韧性的主要影响因素。因此,需继续加大农业经济规模、农业生产要素投入以及政府支持的实施力度,稳定市场环境,统筹各市州农业经济韧性协调稳定发展,以期不断提升湖南省农业经济韧性的内在动力。

Agriculture is the cornerstone of maintaining social stability and promoting economic development.The strengthening of agricultural economy resilience is conducive to the high-quality development of the agricultural industry,and has important practical significance for promoting rural revitalization and realizing agricultural modernization.Taking 14 cities and autonomous prefectures in Hunan Province as research samples,the entropy method was used to comprehensively measure the agricultural economic resilience of each city and autonomous prefecture from 2008 to 2021.The index and decomposition were used to explore the difference characteristics and sources of agricultural economic resilience,and on this basis,the influencing factors of agricultural economic resilience were analyzed with geographical detectors.The results showed that from 2008 to 2021,the level of agricultural economic resilience of all cities and autonomous prefectures in Hunan Province had improved rapidly,among which the mean value of agricultural economic resilience of Changsha City was the highest,and that of Zhangjiajie City was the lowest;During the study period,the overall difference of agricultural economic resilience in Hunan Province decreased year by year,and intra-regional difference contributed the most to the overall difference;Agricultural economic scale,production factor input,government support and regional market environment are the main influencing factors of agricultural economic resilience in Hunan Province.Therefore,it is necessary to continue to increase the scale of agricultural economy,the input of agricultural production factors and the implementation of government support,stabilize the market environment,coordinate the coordinated and stable development of agricultural economic resilience of each cities and autonomous prefectures,in order to continuously improve the internal driving force of agricultural economic resilience in Hunan Province.