制造业集聚、人力资本与绿色发展效率——基于中国30个省份的实证研究

Manufacturing Agglomeration,Human Capital and Green Development Efficiency:Based on an Empirical Study of 30 Provinces in China

选取2008-2022年全国30个省份相关数据,通过系统GMM模型研究制造业集聚与绿色发展效率的影响关系,为制造业集聚与绿色发展提供更具体的政策建议并引入人力资本,探究其在制造业集聚与绿色发展效率之间是否存在中介效应。研究发现:(1)制造业集聚与绿色发展效率之间,呈现先抑制后促进的倒U型关系。(2)人力资本在制造业集聚对绿色发展效率的影响中存在一定的传导作用,但表现为遮掩效应。即人力资本抑制了制造业集聚对绿色发展效率的促进作用。(3)经济发展水平、政府干预对绿色发展效率产生正向影响,产业结构会抑制绿色发展效率的提升,而环境规制对绿色发展效率的正向作用有限。

This paper selects 30 provinces in China from 2008 to 2022 to study the relationship between manufacturing agglomeration and green development efficiency through the systematic GMM model,provides more specific policy suggestions for manufacturing agglomeration and green development,and introduces human capital to explore whether there is an intermediary effect between manufacturing agglomeration and green development efficiency.The results show that:①The relationship between manufacturing agglomeration and green development efficiency presents an inverted U-shaped relationship.②Human capital has a certain conduction effect on the influence of manufacturing agglomeration on green development efficiency,but it shows a masking effect.That is,human capital inhibits the promoting effect of manufacturing agglomeration on the efficiency of green development.③Economic development level and government intervention have a positive impact on green development efficiency,industrial structure will inhibit the improvement of green development efficiency,and environmental regulation has a limited positive effect on green development efficiency.