数字经济与乡村产业振兴:内在机理与实证检验

Digital Economy and Rural Industrial Revitalization:Internal Mechanism and Empirical Test

产业振兴是乡村全面振兴的基础,数字经济与乡村产业的深度融合能为乡村产业发展注入新的发展动能。在深度剖析数字经济赋能乡村产业振兴的理论逻辑基础上,基于2011—2020年中国31个省份的面板数据测算数字经济发展指数和乡村产业振兴指数,实证分析数字经济对乡村产业振兴影响的总效应、中介效应和门槛效应。研究结果表明,数字经济对于乡村产业振兴具有显著正向影响。异质性分析表明,数字经济对中国东部地区乡村产业振兴的正向效应更为明显。机制分析表明,农村创业活跃度在数字经济促进乡村产业振兴的衔接过程中具有中介效应。此外,数字经济对乡村产业振兴存在基于劳动力错配的单一门槛效应,在跨越门槛后,数字经济对乡村产业振兴的影响效应由正转负。因此,需加强数字基础设施建设,注重数字经济赋能效果差异,加强数字经济辐射作用,提升农村居民数字素养,以加快数字经济与乡村产业振兴有效衔接。

Industrial revitalization is the foundation of rural comprehensive revitalization.The deep integration of the digital economy and rural industry can inject new development momentum into the development of rural industry.Based on an in-depth analysis of the theoretical logic of the digital economy empowering rural industry revitalization,this paper calculates the digital economy development index and rural industry revitalization index based on the panel data of 31 provinces and cities in China from 2011 to 2020.It empirically analyzes the total effect,intermediary effect,and threshold effect of the digital economy on rural industry revitalization.The results show that the digital economy has a significant positive impact on the revitalization of rural industries.Heterogeneity analysis shows that the positive effect of the digital economy on the revitalization of rural industries in eastern China is more obvious.Mechanism analysis shows that rural entrepreneurial activity has a mediating effect in the process of the digital economy promoting the revitalization of rural industries.In addition,the digital economy has a single threshold effect on revitalizing rural industries based on labor mismatch.Before and after crossing the threshold,the impact of the digital economy on the revitalization of rural industries has changed from positive to negative.Therefore,it is necessary to strengthen the construction of the digital infrastructure,pay attention to the difference in the digital economy empowerment effect,strengthen the radiation effect of the digital economy,and improve the digital literacy of rural residents,to accelerate the effective connection between digital economy and rural industry revitalization.