RCEP生效对中国跨境电商发展的影响

The Impact of RCEP Effectiveness on the Development of Cross-border E-commerce in China

跨境电商已经成为推动我国外贸增长、实现外贸高质量发展的重要动力,RCEP生效为我国跨境电商发展带来了新的机遇与挑战。利用2020—2023年中国与59个国家的跨境电商进出口面板数据,采用双重差分法分析了RCEP生效对我国跨境电商发展的影响。研究发现:RCEP生效显著推动了我国跨境电商发展,促进了我国与RCEP成员国的跨境电商商品进出口;RCEP生效对跨境电商的出口效应大于进口效应。异质性分析发现,RCEP生效对个人跨境电商商品进出口的影响未存在明显的国家发展水平差异,但对跨境电商B2B商品进出口的影响存在显著的国家发展水平差异。

Cross-border e-commerce has become a significant driver of promoting China's foreign trade growth and achieving high-quality foreign trade development.The implementation of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership(RCEP)has brought new opportunities and challenges to the development of China's cross-border e-commerce.Using the panel data from 2020 to 2023 on cross-border ecommerce imports and exports between China and 59 countries,this paper employs the Difference-inDifferences(DID)method to analyze the impact of RCEP's implementation on China's cross-border ecommerce development.The findings indicate that the entry into force of RCEP significantly boosts China's cross-border e-commerce,facilitating the import and export of e-commerce goods between China and RCEP member countries.Notably,the export effect of RCEP on cross-border e-commerce surpasses its import effect.Heterogeneity analysis reveals that there is no significant difference in the impact of RCEP's implementation on individual cross-border e-commerce imports and exports across different levels of national development,but there is a significant difference in the impact on cross-border e-commerce B2B imports and exports.