中国纺织现代化产业体系发展水平及演化特征研究

Research on the development level and evolutionary characteristics ofmodern China’s textile industry system

建设中国纺织现代化产业体系不仅为纺织业高质量发展提供可持续驱动力,还关乎中国现代化经济体系建设全局。文章立足系统观,将纺织实体经济、纺织科技创新、纺织现代金融和纺织人力资源纳入统一框架,从四位协同视角探析1998—2021年中国纺织现代化产业体系建设取得成效,引入协同学分析其演化特征。研究认为,中国共产党第十八次全国代表大会以来,中国纺织现代化产业体系发展水平显著提升;序参量的转变表明建设中国纺织现代化产业体系受创新和人才约束的作用增强;八大经济区纺织现代化产业体系协同效应均处在上行轨道上,经济区之间和经济区内部存在明显的空间极化现象。

The report of the 19 th National Congress of the Communist Party of China proposed to accelerate the construction of an industrial system that promotes the coordinated development of the real economy,technological innovation,modern finance,and human resources.This is the fundamental principle for solidly building a modern industrial system.The report of the 20 th National Congress of the Communist Party of China stressed that“building a modern industrial system,as an important strategic deployment for the new era and new journey,is of great significance for promoting high-quality development and realizing Chinese path to modernization”.Both theory and practice proved that establishing an industrial system that coordinates the development of the real economy,technological innovation,modern finance,and human resources is an inherent requirement for China to deeply implement the innovation-driven development strategy in the increasingly fierce international competition.It has become the most important way to build a modern industrial system and respond to the current situation of industry and technology being“choked”.According to Kilduff’s theory of textile economic development stages,China’s textile industry is currently in a continuous process of upgrading from large-scale production to high value-added industries,facing problems such as“having chains,not being smooth”and“having factors,not being coordinated”,which restricts the improvement of the competitiveness and efficiency of the textile industry system.Based on this,the article examines the development trend of the textile modernization industry system from the perspective of four-dimensional collaboration and explores its evolutionary characteristics,which is the foundation and key to accelerating the construction of the textile modernization industry system.To explore the achievements and evolutionary characteristics of China’s textile modernization industry system construction from 1998 to 2021 from the perspective of four-dimensional coordinated development,the article constructs a four-dimensional collaborative indicator evaluation system for the modernization of the textile industry system.Based on statistical data of the textile industry from 1998 to 2021,the sequential arrangement polygon area method is used to evaluate the development level of China’s textile modernization industry system.The evolutionary characteristics of the system are analyzed using the collaborative Haken model.Previous research has been limited to a general analysis of the collaborative situation of systems,and there is a lack of exploration of the main controlling factors affecting system evolution.To explore the collaborative evolution relationship of systems,it is necessary to grasp the order parameters that play a dominant role in system evolution.This article is officially based on this research gap and uses the Haken model to identify order parameters,providing theoretical support for enhancing the collaborative orderliness and mutual promotion among the four subsystems of textile real economy,textile technology innovation,modern textile finance,and textile human resources.Research found that,since the 18 th National Congress of the Communist Party of China,the development level of the modern textile industry system has significantly improved;the order parameter driving the evolution of the modern textile industry system has changed from the development level index of the textile real economy before the 18 th National Congress of the Communist Party of China to the development level indexes of textile technology innovation and textile human resources after the 18 th National Congress of the Communist Party of China,and the transformation of the order parameter indicates that the construction of a modern textile industry system is increasingly constrained by innovation and talent;the synergistic effect of the textile modernization industry system in the eight major economic zones is on an upward trajectory,and there is a clear spatial polarization phenomenon between and within the economic zones.This article conducts a comprehensive evaluation of the development level of the modern textile industry system from the four dimensions of real economy,technological innovation,modern finance,and human resources from a systematic perspective.The Haken model is used to analyze its co-evolutionary characteristics.Subsequent research can improve the Haken model to explore in depth the directions of the four-dimensional subsystems of the textile real economy,textile technology innovation,modern textile finance and textile human resources,as well as their coordinated evolution.This will enable more precise policy recommendations to serve the construction of a modern textile industry system.