考虑数值天气预报系统的风电功率预测方法研究

Research on Wind Power Prediction Method Considering Numerical Weather Forecast System

随着全球能源需求的增长和环境保护的压力,风能作为一种清洁、可再生的能源,得到了广泛关注,然而,风电的间歇性和波动性给电网的稳定运行带来了挑战。文章通过分析数值天气预报系统的特点和工作原理,结合风电功率预测的需求,提出了一种基于数值天气预报的风电功率预测方法,并通过虚拟案例分析验证其有效性和可靠性,结果表明,文章所提方法的预测精度明显优于传统方法。该研究为风电场的运行调度和电力系统的稳定运行提供了科学依据和有力支持,具有广泛的应用前景。

With the growth of global energy demand and the pressure of environmental protection,wind energy,as a clean and renewable energy source,has received widespread attention.However,the intermittency and volatility of wind power pose challenges to the stable operation of the power grid.The article proposes a wind power prediction method based on numerical weather forecasting by analyzing the characteristics and working principles of numerical weather forecasting systems,combined with the demand for wind power prediction.The effectiveness and reliability of the method are verified through virtual case analysis,and the results show that the prediction accuracy of the proposed method is significantly better than traditional methods.This study provides scientific basis and strong support for the operation and scheduling of wind farms and the stable operation of power systems,and has broad application prospects.