乡村创新创业对农民收入增长的影响研究——基于中国家庭追踪调查数据的实证分析

The Impact of Rural Innovation and Entrepreneurship on Farmers'Income Growth——An Empirical Study Based on a Family-Tracing Survey in China

在实现农业农村现代化进程中,促进农民收入持续增长仍是中心任务,乡村创新创业为农民创造了新的就业机会,拓宽了农民的增收渠道。本文基于2020年中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)数据,按省份匹配乡村创新创业数据,采用多元回归估计、分位数回归估计、工具变量法和似不相关回归估计等方法,实证分析了乡村创新创业对农民收入的影响机制。研究发现,乡村创新创业能显著促进农民收入增长,且对不同收入群体农民的增收效应存在类似“水涨船高”的线性关系,乡村创新创业也会差异化影响农民的收入结构。结合研究结论,本文建议要持续推进乡村创新创业发展,完善乡村创新创业生态环境,制定差异化的乡村创新创业策略,加强社会网络和金融服务资源与乡村创新创业的有效衔接。

In realizing agricultural and rural modernization,the sustained growth of farmers’income remains the central task.Rural innovation and entrepreneurship have created new employment opportunities for farmers and expanded their channels for increasing income.This study was based on 2020 China Family Panel Studies(CFPS)data,in which rural-innovation and entrepreneurship data was matched by province.Multiple-regression estimation,quantile-regression estimation,and the instrumental-variable method,among other tools,were used to analyze empirically the impact of rural innovation and entrepreneurship on farmers’income.The research found that rural innovation and entrepreneurship significantly promoted the growth of farmers’income and found a linear relationship that is similar to the“rising tide”effect on the income increases of farmers from different income groups.Rural innovation and entrepreneurship also had a differentiated impact on farmers’income structure.Study findings suggests that we should continue to promote the development of rural innovation and entrepreneurship,improve the ecological environment for rural innovation and entrepreneurship,formulate differentiated strategies for rural innovation and entrepreneurship,and strengthen the effective connection between social networks and financial-service resources and rural innovation and entrepreneurship.