长三角地区汽车消费、城镇化水平与汽车产业集群发展

Automobile Consumption,Urbanization Level and Development of Automobile Industry Cluster in Yangtze River Delta Region

分析长三角地区汽车消费对汽车产业集群的影响机制与中介效应机制,并提出假说。采用长三角地区2010—2021年的面板数据,运用面板回归模型,实证检验汽车消费对汽车产业集群的影响机制与中介效应机制。主要结论是:汽车消费显著促进了汽车产业集群的发展,这一结果经过替换被解释变量与核心解释变量后仍成立,城镇化水平在汽车消费与汽车产业集群发展影响之间起部分中介作用。在异质性检验中表明经济发展高、金融发展水平高、购买力程度高以及财政支出程度高的地区,汽车消费显著促进汽车产业集群的发展。基于以上研究,提出应充分发挥汽车消费和城镇化水平对汽车产业集群的促进功能,因地制宜促进长三角汽车产业集群发展等政策建议。

The influence mechanism and intermediary effect mechanism of automobile consumption on automobile industry cluster in Yangtze River Delta region are analyzed and hypotheses are put forward.Using the panel data of Yangtze River Delta region from 2010 to 2021,the panel regression model was used to empirically test the influence mechanism and intermediary effect mechanism of automobile consumption on automobile industry clusters.The main conclusion is that automobile consumption significantly promotes the development of automobile industry cluster,and this result is still valid after replacing the explained variables and the core explanatory variables.Urbanization level plays a partial intermediary role in the influence of automobile consumption and the development of automobile industry cluster.The heterogeneity test shows that in areas with high economic development,high level of financial development,high purchasing power and high degree of fiscal expenditure,automobile consumption significantly promotes the development of automobile industry clusters.Based on the above research,the paper puts forward policy suggestions such as giving full play to the promotion function of automobile consumption and urbanization level to the automobile industry cluster,and promoting the development of the Yangtze River Delta automobile industry cluster according to local conditions.