黄河流域城市群旅游业高质量发展时空分异及协同效应研究

Spatio-temporal Differentiation and Synergy Effect of High-quality Development of Tourism Industry in the Yellow River Basin Urban Agglomerations

基于2009—2019年黄河流域七大城市群56个城市的面板数据,借助扎根理论构建城市群旅游业高质量发展评价指标体系。探查城市群旅游业高质量发展水平时空分异特征,通过耦合协调模型和面板向量自回归等方法实证旅游业高质量发展的协同效应。结果表明:(1)黄河流域城市群旅游业高质量发展包括禀赋优势、市场化水平、创新能力三大子系统;(2)七大城市群旅游业高质量发展水平在研究期内整体表现为上升态势,呈“东高西低,中部居中”的梯度结构特征,重心轨迹由西南向东北方向不断扩散;(3)三大子系统之间存在明显的相互依赖性,互动作用强度具有差异性,需通过高水平协同管理打造黄河流域文化旅游经济带。

Based on panel data from 56 cities in seven urban agglomerations of the Yellow River basin,grounded theory is employed to construct evaluation index system.The synergy effect of high-quality development of tourism industry is demonstrated on the basis of spatio-temporal differentiation through the methods of coupling coordination model and PVAR model.The results show that:(1)High-quality development of tourism industry in the Yellow River Basin urban agglomerations includes three major subsystems:endowment advantage,marketization level and innovation ability;(2)High-quality development level of tourism industry in the seven urban agglomerations exhibits an upward trend during the research period,and present a gradient structure with high in the east,low in the west and centered in the middle.The center of gravity trajectory continuously spreading from southwest to northeast;(3)There is a clear interdependence among three major subsystems with varying intensities of interaction.It is necessary to build a cultural tourism economic belt in the Yellow River Basin through high-level collaborative management.