入境旅游对我国区域经济增长的异质作用分析——基于31省市面板数据

Heterogeneity Analysis of Inbound Tourism to Regional Economic Growth in China ——Based on Panel Data from 31 Provinces and Cities

文章利用2005—2019年我国31个省市的面板数据,建立双向固定效应模型对数据进行回归分析,探讨入境旅游对我国区域经济的影响,并通过ArcGIS可视化技术分析入境旅游对不同区域经济增长的异质效果。结果表明:入境旅游对区域经济增长具有显著的积极意义;东、中部入境旅游发展水平对经济增长的促进效应较西部明显;在具有丰富旅游资源的省市,入境旅游对经济的带动作用更强。本文从入境旅游对经济的带动效应、异质性和面临的宏观环境三个方面提出相关对策建议,以期推动我国入境旅游的健康发展。

This article uses the panel data of 31 provinces and cities in China from 2005 to 2019 to establish a two-way fixed effects model for regression analysis,exploring the impact of inbound tourism on the regional economy in China.Through ArcGIS visualization technology,it analyzes the heterogeneous effects of inbound tourism on economic growth in different regions.The results show:Inbound tourism has a significant positive impact on regional economic growth;The development level of inbound tourism in the eastern and central regions has a more pronounced stimulating effect on economic growth compared to the western regions;In provinces and cities with abundant tourism resources,inbound tourism has a stronger driving effect on the economy.The article proposes relevant countermeasures and suggestions from three aspects:the stimulating effect of inbound tourism on the economy,heterogeneity,and the macro environment,aiming to promote the healthy development of inbound tourism in China.