“双碳”目标下绿色物流与区域经济耦合协调发展研究——以安徽省为例

Research on the Coupling and Coordinated Development of Green Logistics and Regional Economy under the Target of"Dual Carbon"--Taking Anhui Province as an Example

以安徽省为例,研究“双碳”目标下绿色物流与区域经济的耦合协调度。通过文献综述,明确绿色物流和区域经济的定义及国内外研究现状。分析安徽省绿色物流与区域经济的发展现状,探讨二者之间的作用机理。运用熵值法、耦合协调度模型、灰色关联度模型和灰色预测模型等进行研究,选取相关指标,对安徽省2011—2022年的数据进行实证分析。结果表明,安徽省绿色物流与区域经济的耦合协调度逐年上升,从轻度失调发展到优质协调,两者存在极强的正相关关系,并在未来5年持续保持优质协调关系。

Taking Anhui Province as an example,the study explores the coupling coordination degree between green logistics and regional economy under the"dual carbon"goal.Through literature review,the definitions of green logistics and regional economy,as well as the current state of research both domestically and internationally,are clarified.The development status of green logistics and regional economy in Anhui Province is analyzed,and the mechanism of interaction between the two is discussed.Methods such as the entropy value method,coupling coordination degree model,grey correlation degree model,and grey prediction model are used for research.Relevant indicators are selected,and empirical analysis is conducted on the data from Anhui Province between 2011 and 2021.The results indicate that the coupling coordination degree between green logistics and regional economy in Anhui Province is increasing year by year,evolving from slight disharmony to high-quality coordination.There is a very strong positive correlation between the two,and this high-quality coordination is expected to be sustained for the next four years.