广西非物质文化遗产与旅游产业耦合协调及影响因素组态效应——以文化资本为视角

Coupling coordination and configurational effects of influencing factors between intangible cultural heritage and the tourism industry in Guangxi——From the perspective of cultural capital

非物质文化遗产与旅游产业融合是旅游体验深化、非物质文化遗产活化的重要途径。以文化资本理论为基础,基于2010—2021年广西城市面板数据,采用综合评价模型和耦合协调度模型方法测度了广西非物质文化遗产与旅游产业的发展水平和耦合协调度,运用动态QCA方法探究了其影响因素的组态效应,并使用灰色预测模型对2022—2026年的耦合协调度进行了预测。结果显示:(1)广西的非遗资源与旅游产业发展存在明显的时空差异,且耦合协调水平呈现上升的趋势;(2)在影响因素的组态效应研究中,单一要素难以构成必要条件,但经济发展、市场需求和城市环境对于广西非物质文化遗产与旅游产业的必要性逐年增加;(3)存在4条提升非物质文化遗产和旅游产业耦合协调的关键路径,其中公共服务的核心作用更为普遍;(4)广西非物质文化遗产与旅游产业的耦合协调度在2022—2026年会有小幅上升,但区域差异仍旧存在并有所扩大。

The integration of intangible cultural heritage and tourism industry is an important way to deepen tourism experience and activate intangible cultural heritage.Based on the theory of cultural capital,using the comprehensive evaluation model and the coupling coordination degree model method,this paper measured the development level and coupling coordination degree of intangible cultural heritage and tourism industry in Guangxi from 2010 to 2021.This paper explored the configuration effect of its influencing factors by u-sing the dynamic QCA method,and used the gray prediction model to predict the coupling coordination degree from 2022 to 2026.The results showed that:①There were obvious temporal and spatial differences in the development of intangible cultural heritage resources and tourism industry in Guangxi,and the coupling coordination level showed an upward trend.②In the study of the configuration effect of influencing factors,a single factor was difficult to constitute a necessary condition,but the necessity of economic development,market demand and urban environment for the intangible cultural heritage and tourism industry in Guangxi were increasing year by year.③There were 4 key paths to improve the coupling coordination of intangible cultural heritage and tourism industry,among which the core role of public service was more widespread.④The coupling coordination degree of intangible cultural heritage and tourism industry in Guangxi would increase slightly from 2022 to 2026,but regional differences still existed and would expand.