新质生产力对乡村振兴的影响效应检验

Test on the Effect of New Quality Productivity on Rural Revitalization

新质生产力作为中国经济发展的新动能,为驱动乡村振兴提供了良好的契机。文章利用2012—2022年中国30个省份的面板数据,实证检验了新质生产力对乡村振兴的驱动效应及其异质性与门槛效应。研究表明,新质生产力驱动了乡村振兴的发展,且对乡村振兴五个子系统均有显著的驱动作用。区域异质性分析结果表明,在我国西部和中部地区,新质生产力对乡村振兴的驱动作用强于东部地区。调节效应分析结果表明,随着农村居民收入的提高,新质生产力对乡村振兴的促进作用呈现边际效应递减特征;而随着城镇化水平的提高,新质生产力对乡村振兴的促进作用呈现边际效应递增特征。门槛效应模型的分析结果显示,新质生产力对乡村振兴的影响存在双重门槛效应,当新质生产力发展水平较低时,新质生产力对乡村振兴的促进作用较大;随着新质生产力发展水平的提高,这种促进作用逐渐减弱。

As a new kinetic energy for China’s economic development,new quality productivity provides a good opportunity to drive rural revitalization.This paper uses the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2012 to 2022 to empirically examine the driving effect of new quality productivity on rural revitalization and its heterogeneity and threshold effect.The study shows that new quality productivity drives the development of rural revitalization,and has a significant driving effect on the five sub-systems of rural revitalization.The results of regional heterogeneity analysis show that in the western and central regions of China,the driving effect of new quality productivity on rural revitalization is stronger than that in the eastern region.The results of moderating effect analysis show that with the increase of rural residents’income,the promotion of new quality productivity on rural revitalization shows a trend of decreasing marginal effect,and that with the increase of urbanization level,the promotion of new quality productivity on rural revitalization shows a trend of increasing marginal effect.The results of threshold effect model show that there is a double-threshold effect of the impact of new quality productivity on rural revitalization,that when the new quality productivity is at a lower level,the promotion effect of new quality productivity on rural revitalization is stronger,and that with the increase of the new quality productivity level,this promotion effect is gradually weakened.