基于回归分析和碳排放影响机理分析的城市化环境影响研究

Research on Environmental Impact of Urbanization Based on Regression Analysis and Carbon Emission Impact Mechanism Analysis

研究针对城市化对环境的影响问题,提出了一种基于回归分析和碳排放影响机理分析的方法。过程中对城市化对碳排放的影响方面进行了分析,对城市碳排放的计算方式进行了设计,并规定了主要的能源类型和碳排放因子,设计了相应的环境压力分析方法。在实验中,得到北方地区某城市的二氧化碳摩尔分数呈年初年尾高、年中低的姿态,在6年期间最高达到约483×10^(-6);经过对20座城市的城市化环境影响回归检验结果误差分析,得到偏差绝对值保持在5%以内。说明研究方法能够有效对城市化环境影响进行分析,不同城市活动和规格都会对碳排放产生影响。

Aiming at the impact of urbanization on the environment,a method based on regression analysis and carbon emission impact mechanism analysis was proposed.In the process,the impact of urbanization on carbon emissions is analyzed,the calculation method of urban carbon emissions is designed,the main energy types and carbon emission factors are specified,and the corresponding environmental pressure analysis method is designed.In the experiment,it is found that the carbon dioxide molar fraction of a city in northern China is high at the beginning of the year and low at the middle of the year,reaching a maximum of about 483×10^(-6)during the 6-year period.Through the error analysis of the regression test results of the environmental impact of urbanization in 20 cities,the absolute value of the deviation is maintained within 5%.It shows that the research method can effectively analyze the environmental impact of urbanization,and different urban activities and specifications will have an impact on carbon emissions.