数字经济能提高农业转移人口市民化水平吗?

Can the Digital Economy Improve the Level of Urbanization of Rural Migrants

文章利用2018年CLDS数据,从理论机制和实证分析两个方面分析数字经济对农业转移人口市民化的影响作用。研究结果表明,数字经济对农业转移人口的市民化存在显著的促进作用,且通过分样本回归和半参数回归等稳健性检验后,这一效应仍然存在。分位数回归显示,在市民化的不同分位点上,数字经济的边际贡献存在较大的差异。数字经济对农业转移人口市民化的影响存在非线性单一门槛效应。此外,通过传导机制分析证实社会资本与个体年龄分别在数字经济促进农业转移人口市民化提升中发挥出中介作用和调节效应。由此提出提高城市数字经济水平,搭建数字化政务平台,推广数字化服务,探索数字化新模式;农业转移人口提升自身的数字素养,提高其应用数字化基础设施的意识、意愿和能力的建议措施,以更好地推进农业转移人口市民化。

This article uses the 2018 CLDS data to analyze the impact of the digital economy on the urbanization of rural migrants from two aspects:theoretical mechanism and empirical analysis.The results show that the digital economy has significantly promot⁃ed the urbanization level rural migrants,and this effect still exists after robustness tests such as sub sample regression and semi parametric regression.The quantile regression shows that the marginal contribution of the digital economy varies in different quan⁃tiles of citizenization.The impact of digital economy on the urbanization of rural migrants has a nonlinear single threshold effect.In addition,through transmission mechanism analysis,it is confirmed that social capital and individual age respectively play a mediat⁃ing and moderating role in promoting the rural migrants’urbanization level in the digital economy.Therefore,it is proposed to im⁃prove the level of urban digital economy,build a digital government platform,promote digital services,and explore new digital mod⁃els,enhance the digital literacy of rural migrants and enhance their awareness,willingness,and ability to apply digital infrastruc⁃ture to enhance the urbanization of rural migrants.