新质生产力、农业产业链现代化与农民收入增长

New Quality Productivity,Modernization of Agricultural Industry Chain and Growth of Farmers'Income

选取中国2013—2022年30个省级面板数据,构建新质生产力和农业产业链现代化指标体系,进一步采用多种模型对新质生产力、农业产业链现代化以及农民收入增长三者之间的关系进行检验。实证结果发现:新质生产力可有效促进农民收入增长,且该检验结果在经过一系列稳健性检验后依然成立。新质生产力对农民收入增长的影响具有收入来源异质性。相比于农业收入增长,新质生产力对非农业收入增长的促进效应更显著;新质生产力可通过农业产业链现代化助力农民收入增长;新质生产力对农民收入增长的影响因新质生产力变化而存在非线性门槛效应。据此,提出推动农业领域新质生产力发展、制定差异化农民收入增长策略以及推动农业产业“双链”深度融合的建议,以期为农民收入增长提供有益借鉴。

Select the panel data from 30 provinces in China from 2013 to 2022,this study constructs an indicator system for new quality productivity and modernization of agricultural industry chains.Multiple models are further used to test the relationship between new quality productivity,modernization of agricultural industry chains,and income growth of farmers.The empirical results show that new quality productivity can effectively promote the growth of farmers'income,and this test result still holds after undergoing a series of robustness tests.The impact of new productive forces on the income growth of farmers has heterogeneity in income sources.Compared to the growth of agricultural income,the promotion effect of new quality productivity on non agricultural income growth is more significant.New quality productivity can help farmers increase their income through modernization of the agricultural industry chain.The impact of new quality productivity on the income growth of farmers has a non-linear threshold effect due to changes in new quality productivity.Based on this,suggestions are proposed to promote the emergence of new agricultural productivity,formulate differentiated income growth strategies for farmers,and promote the deep integration of the agricultural industry's"dual chain",in order to provide useful references for the growth of farmers'income.