电碳协同的园区分布式资源集群综合效益评估方法

Comprehensive benefit evaluation method for park with distributed resource clusters by electrical and carbon synergy

基于电碳协同的园区各资源集群效益评估是实现园区综合效益评估的关键。首先,从经济效益、环境效益和技术效益3个方面对影响园区中各集群效益的关键因素展开分析,并构建包含目标层、基础层以及指标层的影响综合效益评估的综合指标体系以及效益评估的计算模型。相关的经济、环境和技术类专家为各个指标打分并利用模糊层次分析法确定指标体系中各指标的重要程度和权重;其次,通过投资评价模型确定各集群的指标效益评分;最后,通过各项指标的得分与其对应的权重系数加权计算可得出各个项目的综合效益总分。算例的仿真分析表明:该评估方法对于电碳协同的园区分布式资源集群的综合效益评估具有现实指导意义。通过该评价体系,园区的投资者可以选择在财务盈利能力、低碳可持续化发展能力及技术可行性这3个方面提供最佳平衡的可再生能源技术。

Assessing the clustered benefits of various resources in parks based on electrical and carbon synergy is crucial for achieving comprehensive benefit evaluation of the parks.Firstly,key factors influencing the benefits of each cluster within the park are analyzed from three aspects:economic,environmental,and technical benefits.A comprehensive index system and a calculation model for evaluating the overall benefits are constructed,encompassing the target level,foundation level,and indicator level.Relevant economic,environmental,and technical experts score each indicator,and the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process is used to determine the importance and weights of each indicator in the index system.Secondly,an investment evaluation model is employed to determine the benefit scores for each cluster's indicators.Finally,the overall benefit scores for each project are calculated by weighting the scores of each indicator with their corresponding weight coefficients.The simulation analysis of the case study demonstrates that this evaluation method has practical significance for the comprehensive benefit evaluation of distributed resource clusters in parks with electrical and carbon synergy.Through this evaluation system,park investors can select renewable energy technologies that provide the best balance in terms of financial profitability,low-carbon sustainable development capabilities,and technical feasibility.