韩国碳中和战略的调整

Adjustment of ROK's Carbon Neutrality Strategy

韩国尹锡悦政府将前任文在寅政府制定的“2050碳中和战略”调整为“碳中和绿色增长战略”。该调整虽然继承“2050碳中和目标”和“2030国家温室气体排放目标(NDC)”,但实质上却降低了韩国的减排力度。此举一是因为乌克兰危机爆发后美欧对韩国碳中和压力下降,二是韩国产业界和民众对碳中和战略存在较大的顾虑,三是配合韩国政治斗争需要。未来一段时间内,韩国仍将持续推进碳中和战略,但会放缓推进步伐。长远看,韩国“2050碳中和目标”和“2030国家温室气体排放目标”难以落实的可能性很大,不排除修改的可能。

The Yoon Suk-yeol government adjusted the 2050 Carbon Neutrality Strategy,formulated by the previous Moon Jae-in government,to the Carbon Neutrality and Green Growth Strategy.Although it inherited the 2050 Carbon Neutrality Target and the 2030 national greenhouse gas emission target,it substantially reduced South Korea's emission reduction efforts.The Yoon Suk-yeol government adjusted the carbon neutrality strategy because,first,the pressure from the United States and Europe on South Korea's carbon neutrality decreased after the outbreak of the Ukraine crisis;second,the South Korean industry and the public have great concerns about the carbon neutrality strategy;third,it is necessary to cooperate with South Korea's political struggle.In the future,South Korea will continue to promote the carbon neutrality strategy but will slow down the pace of advancement.In the long run,it is very likely that South Korea's 2050 Carbon Neutrality Target and 2030 national greenhouse gas emission target will be difficult to implement,and the possibility of modification cannot be ruled out.