中国对RCEP成员国数字服务出口贸易效率及影响因素研究

Study on Trade Efficiency and Influencing Factors of China’s Digital Service Exports to RCEP Member Countries

文章分析中国对RCEP成员国数字服务出口额与出口国别结构,运用随机前沿引力模型测算2010—2021年中国对RCEP国家数字服务出口贸易效率,并分析其影响因素作用的程度和方向。结果表明:中国对RCEP成员国数字服务出口贸易规模持续增长但出口的数字服务产品结构不平衡;经济发展水平、共同语言对中国数字服务出口贸易起促进作用,地理距离起阻碍作用;数字基础设施建设、政府效率、贸易和金融自由度减少贸易阻力,数字贸易限制指数、知识产权保护和关税水平增加贸易阻力,其中数字服务贸易限制指数对中国数字服务出口效率影响作用最强;为提升中国与RCEP成员双边贸易效率,应积极推动中国文化走出去,加大数字基础设施建设。本文深入分析数字服务出口贸易效率及影响因素,可为科学把握RCEP区域中国数字服务出口发展趋势,进一步推进中国数字服务贸易发展提供参考。

This essay analyzes the volume and destination country structure of China’s digital service exports to RCEP countries,uses the stochastic frontier gravity model to estimate the trade efficiency from 2010 to 2021,and analyzes the degree and direction of its influencing factors.The results show that:The scale of China’s digital service export trade to RCEP member countries continues to grow,but the structure of exported digital service products is unbalanced;the level of economic development and common language promote China’s digital service export trade,while geographic distance hinders it;the construction of digital infrastructure,governmental efficiency,trade freedom and financial freedom reduce trade resistance,while the Digital Trade Restrictiveness Index(DTRI),intellectual property protection and tarifflevel increase trade resistance,and DTRI has the strongest impact on China’s digital service export efficiency;in order to improve the bilateral trade efficiency between China and RCEP members,the government should actively promote Chinese culture going global and increase digital infrastructure construction.The essay’s in-depth analysis of the trade efficiency of digital service exports and its influencing factors can provide reference for scientifically grasping the development trend of China’s digital service export trade in the RCEP region and further promoting its development.